GLOBAL TRADE IMBALANCES – AN ANALYSIS BEFORE AND AFTER THE GLOBAL ECONOMIC CRISIS

Authors

  • Jelena Trivić Faculty of Economics, University of Banja Luka Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.7251/ZREFIS1715011T

Keywords:

global trade imbalances, deficits, surpluses, world trade

Abstract

The scope of this paper is to define the notion of global imbalances as well as to present the amounts of trade imbalances of the world's largest traders in the period before and in the aftermath of the global economic crisis. Although the global economic crisis has somewhat corrected high deficits, or surpluses of the world's largest traders, data show that after the recovery of world trade after the global economic crisis, there is a resumption of trade imbalances in these countries. The global trade imbalances of the world's largest traders are shown in absolute terms as the difference between the import and export of goods, but also in relative terms expressed as a share of the surplus or deficit in the gross domestic product of each country. It is important to point out that thirteen countries whose trade imbalances are represented in this paper, either individually or as aggregated within a group of countries, make up over half of the world's total trade in goods.

References

Aizenman, Joshua. 2010. On the Causes of Global Imbalances and their Persistence: Myths, Facts and Conjectures. In Rebalancing the Global Economy: A Primer for Policymaking, A VoxEU.org Publication, eds. Claessens, S.; Evenett, S.; Hoekman, B. London: Centre for Economic Policy Research.

Baldwin, Richard. 2009. eds. The Great Trade Collapse: Causes, Consequences and Prospects, A VoxEU.org publication. London: Centre for Economic Policy Research.

Baldwin, Richard, and Daria Taglioni. 2009. The illusion of improving global imbalances. VoxEU.org Publication, Internet: http://www.voxeu.org/article/illusion-improving-global-imbalances.

Bernake, Ben. 2005. The Global Saving Glut and the U.S. Current Account Deficit. Remarks by Mr Ben S. Bernanke, Member of the Board of Governors of the US Federal Reserve System, at the Sandridge Lecture, Virginia Association of Economics, Richmond, Virginia, 10 March 2005. http://www.bis.org/review/r050318d.pdf

Bini, Lorenzo, S. 2008. The Financial Crisis and Global Imbalances: Two Sides of the Same Coin. a speech at the Asia Europe Economic Forum, Beijing. China. 9 December 2008. http://www.bis.org/review/r081212d.pdf

Bracke, Thierry, Matthieu Bussière, Michael Fidora, and Roland Straub. 2008. ’’A Framework for Assessing Global Imbalances’’. Occasional Paper Series No 78. European Central Bank.

Chinn, Menzie D., Barry Eichengreen, and Ito Hiro. 2011. ‘’A Forensic Analysis of Global Imbalances’’, NBER Working Papers No. 17875.

Cooper, Richard N. 2005. ’’Living with Global Imbalances: A Contrarian View’’. Policy Briefs No P B 0 5 – 3. Washington: Peterson Institute for International Economics.

Dooley, Michael, David Folkerts-Landau, adn Peter Garber. 2008. International Financial Stability: Asia, Interest Rates, and the Dollar (second edition). New York: Deutsche Bank Global Research.

Faruqee, Hamid, Douglas Laxton, Dirk Muir, and Paolo Pesenti. 2006. ‘’Would Protectionism Defuse Global Imbalances and Spur Economic Activity? A Scenario Analysis.’’ NBER Working Paper Series, Working Paper 12704.

Gregory, Rob, Christian Henn, Brad McDonald, and Mika Saito. 2010. ’’Trade and the Crisis: Protect or Recover’’, IMF Staff Position Note 10/07.

Kowalski, Przemyslaw, and Molly Lesher. 2011. ’’Global Imbalances: Trade Effects and Policy Challenges.’’ OECD Trade Policy Working Paper No 120. OECD Publishing.

Krugman, Paul. 2007. ’’Will there be a dollar crisis? ’’Economic Policy 55. 435-467.

Mann, Catherine L. 2010. External imbalances: Costs and consequences of unsustainable trajectories. In Rebalancing the Global Economy: A Primer for Policymaking, A VoxEU.org Publication, eds. Claessens, S.; Evenett, S.; Hoekman, B. London: Centre for Economic Policy Research.

Mendoza, Enrique G., Vincenzo Quadrini, and Jose-Victor Rios-Rull. 2008. ’’Financial Integration, Financial Deepness, and Global Imbalances’’. Working Paper 12909, National Bureau of Economic Research

OECD. 2010. Trade and Economic Effects of Responses to the Economic Crisis, OECD Trade Policy Studies. Paris: Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development.

Portes, Richard. 2010. The costs of global imbalances. In Rebalancing the Global Economy: A Primer for Policymaking. A VoxEU.org Publication, eds. Claessens, S.; Evenett, S.; Hoekman, B. London: Centre for Economic Policy Research.

Suominen, Kati. 2010. Did global imbalances cause the crisis?, VoxEU.org Publication, London: Centre for Economic Policy Research.

Tešić, Јelena, and Dragan Gligoric. 2010. ’’Drzavni protekcionizam kao barijera izlaska zemalja iz krize’’. Acta Economics vol XXII.

Tešić, Јelena. 2012. ’’Specificnosti protekcionizma u uslovima globalne ekonomske krize’’. Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Istočnom Sarajevu Broj 6.

Gligorić, Dragan, and Jelena Tešić. 2011. ’’Pojavni oblici i efekti konkurentskih devalvacija u uslovima krize’’. Acta Economica No. XIV

Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis World Trade Monitor, različita изdanja http://www.cpb.nl/en/world-trade-monitor.

World Economic Outlook, International Monetary Found - Data and Statistics.

World Trade Organization International trade statistics 2011. http://www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/its2011_e/its11_appendix_e.htm

World Trade Organization, Statistics Database, Times Series on International Trade. http://www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/its2011_e/its11_appendix_e.htm

World Trade Organization, Statistics Database, Trade Profiles. http://stat.wto.org/CountryProfile/WSDBCountryPFHome.aspx?Language=E

Downloads

Published

2017-12-15

Issue

Section

Original scientific paper

How to Cite

GLOBAL TRADE IMBALANCES – AN ANALYSIS BEFORE AND AFTER THE GLOBAL ECONOMIC CRISIS. (2017). Zbornik Radova Ekonomskog Fakulteta U Istočnom Sarajevu, 15, 11-20. https://doi.org/10.7251/ZREFIS1715011T