APLICATION OF GRAVITY MODEL FOR ANALYSIS OF BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA EXPORT
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.7251/ZREFIS1307123NKeywords:
Gravity model of trade, export, foreign trade policyAbstract
During the last two decades, the gravity model has become very popular in analysis of bilateral trade, regardless of the real limitations of econometrics methods in estimation of model parameters. In this research we analyzed Bosnia and Herzegovina export in period from 2002 to 2011, using gravity model of trade. Gravity model is constructed on the basis of experience from previous empirical and theoretical research, and on the basis of achieved exports results of Bosnia and Herzegovina. The resulting gravity model of exports is used as the basis for the analysis of potential export growth opportunities and identifying potential markets which are not fully utilized. At the same time we got information about the risk of a possible reduction of exports in some countries. Research results should be used as the basis for the adjustment measures of foreign trade policy of Bosnia and Herzegovina in order to use the potential export indicated by this analysis.References
Anderson E., James. 2011. “The Gravity Model”. Annual Review od Economics, vol. 3, January.
Bergstrand, Jeffrey. 1985. “The Gravity Equation in International Trade: Some Microeconomic Foundation and Empirical Evidence”. Review of Economics and Statistics, vol. 67, no. 3, August, 474–481,
Bjelić, Predrag. 2008. Međunarodna trgovina. Beograd: Ekonomski fakultet Beograd.
Bussiere, Matthieu, Jarko Fidrmuc and Bernd Schnatz. 2005. “Trade Integration of Central and Eastern European Countries: Lessons from a Gravity Model”, no. 545. Working Paper Series. European Central Bank.
Christie, Edward. 2001. “Potential Trade in Southeast Europe: A Gravity Model Approach”. Working Papers 011, The wiiw Blakan Observatory.
Deardroff, Alan. 1995. “Determinants of Bilateral Trade: Does Gravity Work in a Neoclassical World?”. Research Seminar in International Economics. Dicussion Paper no. 382. Michigan.
Dragutinović Mitrović, Radmila. 2005. “Ograničenja gravitacionog modela u ekonometrijskoj analizi spoljnotrgovinske razmene”. Economic Annals, no. 167, October–December, 77–106.
Jovičić, Milena i Radmila Dragutinović Mitrović. 2011. Ekonometrijski metodi i modeli. Beograd: Ekonomski fakultet Beograd.
Kristjansdottir, Helga. 2005. A Gravity Model for Export from Iceland. Department of Economics University of Copenhagen, Center for Applied Microeconometrics. http://www.econ.ku.dk/CAM/.
Krugman R. Paul and Maurice Obstfeld. 2009. Međunarodna ekonomija, teorija i ekonomska politika. Sedmo izdanje. Zagreb: Zagrebačka škola za ekonomiju i preduzetništvo.
Martinez-Zarzoso, Inmaculada and Felicitas Nowak-Lehmann. 2003. “Augmented Gravity Model: An Empirical Application to MERCOSUR-European Union Trade Flows”. Journal of Applied Economics, vol. 6, no. 2, November, 291–316.
Rahman, Mafizur Mohamed. 2009. “Australia’s Global Trade Potential: Evidence from the Gravity Model Analyzis”, Oxford Business & Economics Conference Program. St. Hugh’s College. Oxford: Oxford University.
Sohn, Chan-Hyun. 2005. “Does the Gravtiy Model Explain South Korea’s Trade Flows?”. The Japaness Economic Review, vol. 56, no. 4, December, 417–430.
Van Wincoop, Eric and Jim Anderson. 2003. “Gravity with Gravitas: A Solution to the Border Puzzle”. American Economic Review, 93(1), 170–192.
BHAS. 2012. Foreign Trade in Goods Statistics. July 27. http://www.bhas.ba/saopstenja/2012/ETS_2012M06_001_01-bh.pdf.
UNCTAD. 2012. Online database. July 23. http://unctadstat.unctad.org/ReportFolders/reportFolders.aspx?sRF_ActivePath=p,15912&sRF_Expanded=,p,15912.
IMF data and statistics. 2012. World Economic Outlook Databes. July 23. http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2012/01/weodata/weoselgr.aspx.
City Distance Claculator. 2012. Distance between citites. July. www.geobytes.com/citydistance.htm.
WTO. 2012. Regional trade agreements and preferential trade arrangements. July 25. www.wto.org/english/tratop_e/regoin_e/rta_pta_e.htm.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2013 Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Istočnom Sarajevu

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.